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      一號文件出臺玉米真能漲?豆粕價格較年前跌了100元/噸!

      來源: 赤峰和美嘉科技有限公司  點擊:20 發布時間:2017-2-9

      【玉米價格行情日報】

      2月6日全國玉米現貨價格繼續穩定運行為主。中央一號文件正式出臺,大連玉米期價出現明顯反彈現象。


      東北地區玉米價格基本穩定運行為主,黑龍江玉米出庫價穩定在1210-1300元/噸;吉林玉米出庫價穩定在1310-1380元/噸;遼寧、內蒙古玉米出庫價穩定在1400-1500元/噸。華北黃淮地區部分深加工企業開始收糧,價格小幅波動;山東部分深加工企業玉米收購價節后下調10元/噸;山東、河南地區玉米收購價區間在1520-1600元/噸;河北、山西、陜西玉米收購價穩定在1520-1570元/噸。北方港口貿易陸續恢復收購,平艙價穩定在1480-1500元/噸;廣東港貿易商挺價,但購銷清淡,玉米成交價區間為1610-1630元/噸。南方銷區部分飼料企業繼續消耗前期庫存為主,市場價格穩定運行為主;江蘇內陸市場購銷陸續啟動,東北糧源持續到站,包糧主流站臺價格1640-1680元/噸區間。


      2017年中央一號文件新鮮出爐,而文件內容對國內玉米市場影響頗深,特別提到了玉米“去庫存”方面,給我國玉米期貨市場提供新一輪炒作題材,大連玉米期價出現明顯反彈行情。而國內玉米現貨市場依舊處于春節后購銷恢復階段,價格行情穩定運行為主。盡管目前中儲糧入市收購、中央一號文件及飼料企業補貼,這三個影響因素繼續支撐玉米價格行情,但年后終端需求清淡,市場供應寬松,行情寶認為玉米價格不具備大幅上漲可能,小幅波動行情將繼續主導整個市場。


      【豆粕價格行情日報】

      2月6日全國大部分油廠開始陸續開機,豆粕報價較節前出現明顯下調。


      山東及江蘇地區主流油廠豆粕報價區間3160-3260元/噸;浙江仍有部分油廠尚未開機,市場主流價在3200-3250元/噸;上海當地大型油廠豆粕報價3200元/噸;福建地區豆粕價格區間3300-3350元/噸;廣東、廣西地區豆粕價格3160-3240元/噸;天津、河北地區個別油廠豆粕報價區間3210-3300元/噸;吉林、遼寧當地大型油廠豆粕報價較年前下滑100元/噸;河南當地油廠豆粕價格3250-3310元/噸;安徽地區油廠豆粕報價差距較大,區間在3200-3300元/噸;云南部分地區貿易商豆粕報價3380-3400元/噸。


      春節期間,美豆期價受到南美大豆預期豐產消息的打壓,走勢出現明顯下滑趨勢。而本輪美豆期價跌勢延續至年后,導致今日國內復產油廠豆粕報價均較年前出現大幅下滑現象。與此同時,現階段供需端均出現打壓市場的現象。節后屬于養殖終端飼料消費淡季,也就意味著豆粕需求偏低階段。再加上年前我們強調的進口大豆陸續到港,油廠陸續開機,供應端略顯寬松。行情寶認為短期內國內豆粕價格難有起色。不過,3-5月或出現大豆進口到港缺口,屆時豆粕價格或有反彈行情出現。


      The English version

      【The price of corn prices daily 】

      On February 6, spot prices continue to stable operation of the national corn to give priority to. The central file no. 1 formal introduction, dalian corn futures appear obvious rebound phenomenon.


      Corn prices basically stable operation is given priority to, in northeast China heilongjiang corn outbound price stability in the 1210-1300 yuan/ton; Jilin corn outbound price stability in the 1310-1380 yuan/ton; Liaoning, Inner Mongolia corn outbound price stability in the 1400-1500 yuan/ton. Huanghuai region of north China some deep processing enterprises began to receive food, prices fluctuated; Shandong part of corn deep processing enterprises purchase price after cut 10 yuan/ton; Shandong, henan region corn price range in 1520-1600 yuan/ton; Hebei, shanxi, shaanxi corn price stability in the 1520-1570 yuan/ton. The northern port trade gradually restore acquisition, trimming price stability in the 1480-1500 yuan/ton; Guangdong port of trader's price, but the buying and selling light, corn price range is 1610-1630 yuan/ton. XiaoQu southern part of the early stage of the feed enterprises continue to consume the inventory is given priority to, the market price and stable operation is given priority to; Jiangsu inland market sales were launched, the northeast stocks continued to arrive station, mainstream platform package food price 1640-1680 yuan/ton range.


      No. 1 in 2017, the central fresh, and file content influence on domestic corn market deeply, singled out corn "to stock", to provide a new round of speculation themes, corn futures market in China dalian corn futures appear obvious rally. And domestic corn spot market is still in the buying and selling recovery phase after the Spring Festival, the price quotation and stable operation. Although the grain storage in the market to buy, the central file no. 1 and subsidies in the enterprises, the three factors continue to support the price of corn, but light years end demand, market supply, market treasure may think corn prices have surged, small fluctuations in prices will continue to dominate the market.


      "Soybean meal price quotation daily"

      On February 6, the most oil started to boot, soybean meal price is first apparent.


      Shandong and jiangsu region oil major soybean meal price range 3160-3260 yuan/ton; Zhejiang - has yet to start up, in some mainstream prices in 3200-3250 yuan/ton; Shanghai local large oil soybean meal price 3200 yuan/ton; Fujian region soybean meal price range 3300-3350 yuan/ton; Guangdong, guangxi region soybean meal price 3160-3240 yuan/ton; Tianjin and hebei region individual oil soybean meal price range 3210-3300 yuan/ton; Jilin, liaoning local large oil soybean meal price is years ago fell 100 yuan/ton; Henan local oil soybean meal price 3250-3310 yuan/ton; Anhui region is researched soybean meal price difference is bigger, range in 3200-3300 yuan/ton; Parts of yunnan traders soybean meal price 3380-3400 yuan/ton.


      During the Spring Festival, the bean futures down by South American soybean expected fertility news, has a significant downward trend. And the beautiful bean futures continue falling until years later, led to today's domestic oil production soybean meal price than years ago a sharp decline phenomenon. At the same time, the current supply and demand side are appear on market phenomenon. Post-holiday belongs to feed consumption off-season breeding terminal, also means that soybean meal demand low stage. Plus years ago we emphasis on imports of soybeans in succession to the port, is researched on in succession, the supply side slightly loose. Market treasure to think in the short term domestic soybean meal price rut. However, 3-5 months or soybean imports into the port hole, when the price of soybean meal or have a rally.






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